Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Barbashev 42.2% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 69.5%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 66.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.0%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Ryan
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
42.0% (1,738)
-3.9%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
46.1% (89)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
36.7% (139)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Ryan
Barbashev
Home
38.3% (287)
42.4% (932)
Away
36.4% (195)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Ryan
Barbashev
P1
34.2%
40.7%
P2
39.7%
42.3%
P3
38.6%
42.3%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%