Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Barbashev 42.3% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 69.0%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 67.1%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.4%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Ryan
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
42.1% (1,726)
-4.0%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
47.1% (87)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
36.7% (139)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Barbashev is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Ryan
Barbashev
Home
38.3% (287)
42.5% (926)
Away
36.4% (195)
41.4% (1,026)
By Period
Ryan
Barbashev
P1
34.2%
40.9%
P2
39.7%
42.5%
P3
38.6%
42.3%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%