Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Carter 54.0% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 72.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 53.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.6%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Ryan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Carter
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Ryan
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
56.2% (445)
-14.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
54.4% (114)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
37.5% (40)
-10.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Ryan is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Ryan shoots right. Carter is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carter
Home
38.4% (138)
55.0% (291)
Away
42.0% (81)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Ryan
Carter
P1
33.7%
57.2%
P2
40.3%
46.6%
P3
49.2%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
32.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |