Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 88.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 73.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.6%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Ryan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ryan
Carter
Last 8: Ryan 2-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Ryan
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Ryan
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
53.3% (8,728)
-15.2%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
57.3% (1,554)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
46.3% (1,087)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Ryan is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Ryan shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carter
Home
38.3% (287)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
36.4% (195)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Ryan
Carter
P1
34.2%
53.6%
P2
39.7%
52.8%
P3
38.6%
53.1%
OT
55.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
35.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |