Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.7%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Ryan
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Ribeiro
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Ryan
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Ryan
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
42.9% (4,887)
-4.8%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
45.6% (930)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
33.3% (147)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Ryan
Ribeiro
Home
38.3% (287)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
36.4% (195)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Ryan
Ribeiro
P1
34.2%
42.6%
P2
39.7%
44.3%
P3
38.6%
41.8%
OT
55.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | OT | 01:29 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |