Scouting Report
Bobby Ryan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.2%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 59.0%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 51.9%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Ryan
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
33.7% (819)
+4.4%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
44.7% (47)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
21.9% (32)
-0.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Ryan
Buchnevich
Home
38.3% (287)
34.9% (459)
Away
36.4% (195)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Ryan
Buchnevich
P1
34.2%
33.9%
P2
39.7%
33.9%
P3
38.6%
33.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%