Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Gagner 44.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 68.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Ryan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Ryan
Gagner
Last 9: Ryan 6-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Ryan
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
43.1% (758)
-1.8%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
50.3% (147)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
34.6% (26)
-7.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
38.4% (138)
47.4% (468)
Away
42.0% (81)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
33.7%
43.8%
P2
40.3%
43.8%
P3
49.2%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
32.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |