Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 78.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 68.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Ryan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Ryan
Gagner
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Ryan
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
45.4% (4,699)
-7.3%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
51.5% (928)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
35.0% (226)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
38.3% (287)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
36.4% (195)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
34.2%
44.6%
P2
39.7%
46.1%
P3
38.6%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |