Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Paquette 48.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 56.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 72.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 60.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Nieves
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nieves
Paquette
Last 5: Nieves 3-2 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
1
0
Nieves
Paquette
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
2
Nieves
Paquette
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nieves
2
0
Nieves
Paquette
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
49.7% (2,579)
-6.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
55.8% (43)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
42.5% (426)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Home / Away
Nieves
Paquette
Home
48.3% (230)
50.2% (1,541)
Away
37.1% (245)
47.4% (1,507)
By Period
Nieves
Paquette
P1
41.1%
49.1%
P2
44.6%
49.9%
P3
41.4%
47.5%
Final 5 min
41.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |