Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 46.1% vs Ryan 55.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 71.3%
Defensive zone
Nieves 84.5%
Neutral zone
Nieves 79.6%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Nieves
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nieves
Ryan
Last 6: Nieves 1-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nieves
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Nieves
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Nieves
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (208)
56.5% (816)
-11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.2% (105)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
63.2% (19)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Nieves is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Nieves shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Nieves
Ryan
Home
51.0% (100)
56.7% (466)
Away
38.7% (119)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Nieves
Ryan
P1
40.5%
55.4%
P2
50.6%
58.1%
P3
40.7%
55.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |