Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 80.3%
Defensive zone
Nieves 82.1%
Neutral zone
Nieves 85.3%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Nieves
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nieves
Ryan
Last 6: Nieves 1-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nieves
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Nieves
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Nieves
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
56.6% (4,102)
-13.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
53.2% (342)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
47.8% (649)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Nieves is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Nieves shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Nieves
Ryan
Home
48.3% (230)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
37.1% (245)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Nieves
Ryan
P1
41.1%
55.1%
P2
44.6%
54.7%
P3
41.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |