Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nieves 50.8%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 51.0%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Nieves
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nieves
Luostarinen
Last 5: Nieves 3-2 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Nieves
Luostarinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
2
0
Nieves
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
44.7% (1,748)
-1.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
41.7% (60)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
38.0% (205)
-23.7%
On power play, Nieves has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,335).
Home / Away
Nieves
Luostarinen
Home
48.3% (230)
44.7% (1,006)
Away
37.1% (245)
43.1% (1,007)
By Period
Nieves
Luostarinen
P1
41.1%
43.4%
P2
44.6%
45.3%
P3
41.4%
43.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |