Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 42.2% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 64.4%
Defensive zone
Nieves 67.1%
Neutral zone
Nieves 69.0%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Nieves
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nieves
Wallmark
Last 6: Nieves 1-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Nieves
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Nieves
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Nieves
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (220)
51.8% (956)
-12.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.1% (59)
-44.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.4% (114)
-14.1%
On power play, Wallmark has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Nieves is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Nieves shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Nieves
Wallmark
Home
44.1% (118)
52.5% (579)
Away
33.0% (109)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Nieves
Wallmark
P1
41.7%
54.4%
P2
35.4%
48.8%
P3
39.7%
50.1%
Final 5 min
33.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
38.8%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |