Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nieves 61.0%
Neutral zone
Nieves 61.1%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Nieves
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nieves
Wallmark
Last 7: Nieves 2-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Nieves
Wallmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Nieves
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nieves
Wallmark
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
50.5% (1,852)
-7.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.3% (103)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
44.9% (216)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Nieves
Wallmark
Home
48.3% (230)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
37.1% (245)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Nieves
Wallmark
P1
41.1%
51.4%
P2
44.6%
50.8%
P3
41.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |