Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 46.1% vs Thompson 55.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 70.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Nieves
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nieves
Thompson
Last 5: Nieves 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
2
0
Nieves
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Nieves
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (208)
57.7% (482)
-12.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
51.9% (154)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nieves is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Nieves shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Nieves
Thompson
Home
51.0% (100)
59.0% (327)
Away
38.7% (119)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Nieves
Thompson
P1
40.5%
54.2%
P2
50.6%
61.3%
P3
40.7%
53.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2017 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |