Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Thompson 52.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nieves 62.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nieves 55.4%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Nieves
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Nieves
Thompson
Last 10: Nieves 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
1
0
Nieves
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
3
1
Nieves
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Nieves
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
54.1% (5,812)
-11.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.8% (135)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
47.9% (1,381)
-33.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Nieves
Thompson
Home
48.3% (230)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
37.1% (245)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Nieves
Thompson
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
44.6%
52.9%
P3
41.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
41.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |