Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Nieves wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Patrick 51.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nieves 52.9%
Neutral zone
Nieves 50.5%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Nieves
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nieves
Patrick
Last 7: Nieves 3-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nieves
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nieves
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Nieves
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
50.6% (1,978)
-7.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.5% (120)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
57.7% (26)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Nieves is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Nieves shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Nieves
Patrick
Home
48.3% (230)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
37.1% (245)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Nieves
Patrick
P1
41.1%
52.9%
P2
44.6%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
51.3%
Final 5 min
41.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |