Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nieves wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 46.1% vs Johnson 50.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 59.1%
Defensive zone
Nieves 59.3%
Neutral zone
Nieves 59.3%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Nieves
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nieves
Johnson
Last 5: Nieves 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Nieves
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Nieves
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (208)
51.8% (548)
-6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
51.7% (58)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
40.7% (113)
-40.7%
On power play, Nieves has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nieves is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Nieves shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Nieves
Johnson
Home
51.0% (100)
53.6% (371)
Away
38.7% (119)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Nieves
Johnson
P1
40.5%
50.9%
P2
50.6%
50.2%
P3
40.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |