Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nieves wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 62.8%
Defensive zone
Nieves 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nieves 66.3%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Nieves
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nieves
Johnson
Last 5: Nieves 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Nieves
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Nieves
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
49.8% (5,396)
-6.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.6% (885)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
42.3% (707)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nieves is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Nieves shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Nieves
Johnson
Home
48.3% (230)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
37.1% (245)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Nieves
Johnson
P1
41.1%
50.1%
P2
44.6%
50.6%
P3
41.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
41.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |