Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Jenner 53.9% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 63.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 56.6%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Groulx
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Groulx
Jenner
Last 7: Groulx 3-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
3
Groulx
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
54.5% (775)
-10.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
59.1% (198)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
46.4% (140)
-2.6%
On even strength, Jenner has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Groulx
Jenner
Home
49.6% (129)
52.9% (512)
Away
39.0% (146)
55.4% (601)
By Period
Groulx
Jenner
P1
43.6%
55.0%
P2
45.0%
54.5%
P3
43.4%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |