Boone Jenner vs Casey Mittelstadt
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Mittelstadt 46.4% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 72.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 91.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 83.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Jenner
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jenner
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Jenner 4-1 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Jenner
Mittelstadt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Mittelstadt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
45.3% (569)
+8.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
49.6% (135)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
40.6% (32)
+9.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mittelstadt
Home
56.7% (693)
45.1% (366)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.8% (370)
By Period
Jenner
Mittelstadt
P1
57.1%
41.1%
P2
54.1%
51.1%
P3
53.0%
45.9%
OT
61.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |