Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Coyle 52.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Jenner
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Jenner
Coyle
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
4
Jenner
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
4
Jenner
Coyle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
52.7% (849)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
66.7% (39)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
48.1% (131)
+1.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Jenner
Coyle
Home
56.7% (693)
53.3% (512)
Away
52.7% (693)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Jenner
Coyle
P1
57.1%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
47.8%
P3
53.0%
56.7%
OT
61.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |