Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Staal 50.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 51.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 70.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 55.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
6
Jenner
Staal
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Jenner
Staal
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.5% (10,347)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
53.5% (2,023)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
44.2% (781)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
53.7%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
51.1%
P3
54.4%
50.4%
OT
54.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |