Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Staal 46.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 78.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 59.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jenner
Staal
Last 5: Jenner 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Jenner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.6% (565)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
35.0% (20)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
35.4% (158)
+14.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
56.7% (693)
46.1% (380)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
57.1%
45.7%
P2
54.1%
46.2%
P3
53.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |