Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Staal 51.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 85.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 56.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Jenner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
50.6% (1,026)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
55.0% (211)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
35.0% (20)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
54.1% (575)
52.4% (647)
Away
54.1% (582)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
54.1%
49.4%
P2
53.1%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Eric Staal |