Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Staal 49.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 92.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 85.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Jenner
Staal
Last 7: Jenner 7-0 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
49.6% (779)
+7.7%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
49.7% (179)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
48.8% (41)
-2.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
54.8% (586)
52.0% (542)
Away
55.5% (580)
46.6% (457)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
57.3%
44.2%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
55.9%
52.9%
OT
54.5%
68.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |