Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.2%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Haula 53.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 53.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 54.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Jenner
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Jenner
Haula
Last 7: Jenner 1-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
3
Jenner
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
Jenner
Haula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
54.5% (881)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
68.4% (57)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
45.4% (119)
+4.3%
On power play, Haula has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Jenner
Haula
Home
56.7% (693)
55.4% (520)
Away
52.7% (693)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Jenner
Haula
P1
57.1%
56.5%
P2
54.1%
53.3%
P3
53.0%
53.8%
OT
61.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |