Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 76.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 73.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 76.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Jenner
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Jenner
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
4
Jenner
Kuznetsov
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
3
Jenner
Kuznetsov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Jenner
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
47.7% (927)
+6.5%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
53.5% (71)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
39.4% (71)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kuznetsov
Home
56.7% (693)
45.9% (534)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Jenner
Kuznetsov
P1
57.1%
44.8%
P2
54.1%
52.1%
P3
53.0%
44.5%
OT
61.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |