Boone Jenner vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 69.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Jenner
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Jenner
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Jenner
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
45.0% (389)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
31.8% (22)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
37.6% (125)
+15.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gaudreau
Home
51.0% (143)
42.6% (277)
Away
49.2% (124)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Jenner
Gaudreau
P1
51.7%
43.8%
P2
40.5%
44.8%
P3
57.3%
39.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |