Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.0% vs McKegg 49.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 76.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 79.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Jenner
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Jenner
McKegg
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
McKegg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
McKegg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
McKegg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (6,094)
49.1% (1,143)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,146)
50.0% (24)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (990)
48.8% (86)
-0.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,105).
Jenner shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Jenner
McKegg
Home
54.5% (3,991)
50.4% (554)
Away
53.6% (4,239)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Jenner
McKegg
P1
53.7%
48.7%
P2
53.9%
49.9%
P3
54.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.0%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |