Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs McKegg 46.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 68.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Jenner
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jenner
McKegg
Last 5: Jenner 3-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Jenner
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
45.9% (146)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
35.7% (14)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Jenner
McKegg
Home
53.2% (609)
45.3% (64)
Away
54.0% (589)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Jenner
McKegg
P1
49.7%
48.1%
P2
53.6%
50.0%
P3
56.5%
37.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |