Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Jenner
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Jenner
Spezza
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
13
Jenner
Spezza
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
3
Jenner
Spezza
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
54.4% (7,990)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
52.7% (643)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Jenner
Spezza
Home
54.5% (4,051)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Jenner
Spezza
P1
53.7%
55.7%
P2
53.5%
54.4%
P3
54.4%
54.1%
OT
54.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |