Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.9%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Spezza 52.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Jenner
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jenner
Spezza
Last 7: Jenner 4-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
53.7% (451)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
54.3% (92)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
38.2% (34)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Jenner
Spezza
Home
53.2% (609)
55.0% (282)
Away
54.0% (589)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Jenner
Spezza
P1
49.7%
53.1%
P2
53.6%
53.2%
P3
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |