Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.8%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs Spezza 55.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 56.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jenner
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jenner
Spezza
Last 8: Jenner 5-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Jenner
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
56.4% (654)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
51.7% (87)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (53)
50.0% (6)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Jenner is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jenner shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Jenner
Spezza
Home
53.6% (239)
61.4% (352)
Away
57.4% (244)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Jenner
Spezza
P1
56.6%
60.6%
P2
56.6%
54.8%
P3
53.6%
52.5%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |