Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Spezza 53.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Jenner
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jenner
Spezza
Last 9: Jenner 3-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
6
Jenner
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
52.6% (346)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
61.0% (41)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
72.7% (11)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Jenner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Jenner shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Jenner
Spezza
Home
54.8% (586)
56.0% (175)
Away
55.5% (580)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Jenner
Spezza
P1
57.3%
56.8%
P2
52.5%
54.3%
P3
55.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |