Boone Jenner vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 82.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 65.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Jenner
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Jenner
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Jenner
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
59.1% (687)
-9.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
69.4% (36)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
60.1% (213)
-7.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pageau
Home
51.0% (143)
57.8% (377)
Away
49.2% (124)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Jenner
Pageau
P1
51.7%
54.1%
P2
40.5%
62.1%
P3
57.3%
61.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |