Boone Jenner vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Pageau 56.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 57.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Jenner
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Jenner
Pageau
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
3
Jenner
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
5
Jenner
Pageau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
6
Jenner
Pageau
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
58.8% (889)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.2% (182)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
48.6% (185)
+1.1%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pageau
Home
56.7% (693)
59.0% (595)
Away
52.7% (693)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Jenner
Pageau
P1
57.1%
58.9%
P2
54.1%
57.9%
P3
53.0%
55.6%
OT
61.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |