Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Skinner 43.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 60.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 92.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 63.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Jenner
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jenner
Skinner
Last 5: Jenner 3-2 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
2
Jenner
Skinner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
37.5% (152)
+16.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
47.9% (71)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
0.0% (1)
+50.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Jenner
Skinner
Home
53.2% (609)
41.5% (130)
Away
54.0% (589)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Jenner
Skinner
P1
49.7%
32.9%
P2
53.6%
47.1%
P3
56.5%
40.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |