Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Jenner wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Pavelski 51.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 79.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 58.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Jenner
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Jenner
Pavelski
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
6
Jenner
Pavelski
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
13
2
Jenner
Pavelski
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Jenner
Pavelski
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
53.5% (508)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
51.7% (118)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
41.4% (70)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Jenner is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Jenner shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pavelski
Home
57.8% (249)
54.3% (372)
Away
52.9% (297)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Jenner
Pavelski
P1
51.8%
48.7%
P2
58.7%
57.7%
P3
56.2%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 01:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |