Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Larsson 48.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 84.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 74.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Jenner
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jenner
Larsson
Last 8: Jenner 2-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
Jenner
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
3
Jenner
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
48.4% (506)
+8.9%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
62.5% (24)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
44.9% (138)
+1.6%
On power play, Larsson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Jenner
Larsson
Home
54.8% (586)
51.9% (335)
Away
55.5% (580)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Jenner
Larsson
P1
57.3%
48.7%
P2
52.5%
48.3%
P3
55.9%
48.1%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |