Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Larsson 49.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 60.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 84.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 69.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Jenner
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Jenner
Larsson
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
6
Jenner
Larsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
9
Jenner
Larsson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.5% (4,382)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
47.7% (153)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
43.8% (714)
+4.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Jenner
Larsson
Home
54.5% (4,051)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Jenner
Larsson
P1
53.7%
51.6%
P2
53.5%
49.7%
P3
54.4%
47.2%
OT
54.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |