Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Eller 55.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Jenner
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Jenner
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
56.5% (434)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
77.8% (9)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
56.5% (46)
-3.6%
On power play, Eller has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Jenner
Eller
Home
51.0% (143)
53.1% (211)
Away
49.2% (124)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Jenner
Eller
P1
51.7%
55.4%
P2
40.5%
58.1%
P3
57.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |