Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Eller 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 64.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Jenner
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
30
(49 meetings)
19
30
Jenner
Eller
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
9
Jenner
Eller
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
13
Jenner
Eller
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
8
Jenner
Eller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
51.1% (10,296)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
52.8% (621)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
46.7% (1,751)
+1.7%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Jenner
Eller
Home
54.5% (4,051)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Jenner
Eller
P1
53.7%
51.2%
P2
53.5%
50.1%
P3
54.4%
50.2%
OT
54.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |