Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Couture 48.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 80.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 58.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 78.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Jenner
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jenner
Couture
Last 8: Jenner 5-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Jenner
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
48.7% (986)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
58.5% (94)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
44.1% (195)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Jenner
Couture
Home
53.2% (609)
47.2% (625)
Away
54.0% (589)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Jenner
Couture
P1
49.7%
46.8%
P2
53.6%
49.8%
P3
56.5%
49.8%
OT
65.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |