Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Kempe 40.7% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 94.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 93.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 91.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Jenner
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Jenner
Kempe
Last 6: Jenner 5-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Jenner
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Kempe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
38.7% (380)
+15.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
33.3% (3)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
31.3% (16)
+17.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kempe
Home
54.5% (4,051)
40.1% (177)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Jenner
Kempe
P1
53.7%
34.7%
P2
53.5%
40.4%
P3
54.4%
38.8%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |