Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Jenner
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Scheifele
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Jenner
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
48.1% (1,045)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
48.6% (181)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.4% (27)
+2.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Jenner
Scheifele
Home
52.9% (512)
52.7% (630)
Away
55.4% (601)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Jenner
Scheifele
P1
55.0%
50.3%
P2
54.5%
46.8%
P3
53.6%
47.5%
OT
52.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |