Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 79.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 65.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Jenner
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Jenner
Rantanen
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
9
Jenner
Rantanen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Rantanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
51.0% (1,522)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
50.8% (484)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
14.3% (7)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rantanen
Home
54.5% (4,051)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Jenner
Rantanen
P1
53.7%
49.0%
P2
53.5%
51.3%
P3
54.4%
51.8%
OT
54.5%
57.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |