Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.8%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 86.0%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 54.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Jenner
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Rantanen
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Jenner
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
51.7% (346)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
58.5% (164)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rantanen
Home
52.9% (512)
55.8% (258)
Away
55.4% (601)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Jenner
Rantanen
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
56.6%
P3
53.6%
54.3%
OT
52.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |