Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 70.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Jenner
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Jenner
Suzuki
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
1
Jenner
Suzuki
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
51.3% (1,096)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
59.9% (157)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
56.9% (58)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Jenner
Suzuki
Home
52.9% (512)
54.2% (638)
Away
55.4% (601)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Jenner
Suzuki
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
54.5%
53.3%
P3
53.6%
52.4%
OT
52.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |