Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 77.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 72.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 72.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Jenner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Jenner
Bergeron
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Jenner
Bergeron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
6
Jenner
Bergeron
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Jenner
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
62.2% (352)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
53.5% (245)
-3.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bergeron
Home
56.7% (693)
61.9% (917)
Away
52.7% (693)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Jenner
Bergeron
P1
57.1%
60.8%
P2
54.1%
60.3%
P3
53.0%
63.0%
OT
61.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |